长江宜昌至螺山段河道枯水时空演变特征及驱动因素研究
Study on the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of low-flow conditions in the Yangtze River from Yichang to Luoshan
投稿时间:2024-12-05  修订日期:2025-05-27
DOI:
中文关键词:  枯水演变  水位流量关系  非一致性  驱动因素  长江宜昌-螺山段
英文关键词:low-flow evolution  water level-discharge relationship  non-stationarity  driving factors  Yichang to Luoshan section of the Yangtze River
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(U2240201,52279029)
作者单位邮编
乔川源 中国矿业大学资源与地球科学学院 222116
朱奎 中国矿业大学资源与地球科学学院 
陶昌弟 广西壮族自治区水利电力勘测设计研究院有限责任公司 
朱晨雨 中国水利水电科学研究院水资源研究所 
闭祖良 广西壮族自治区水利电力勘测设计研究院有限责任公司 
鲁帆* 中国水利水电科学研究院水资源研究所 100038
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中文摘要:
      为分析三峡水库拦蓄和调度对下游河道水文情势的影响,本文基于1991-2021年日均水位与流量数据,采用多种枯水指标,结合Mann-Kendall趋势检验和Pettitt突变检验方法,系统研究三峡水库建库前后长江宜昌-螺山段河道枯水的时空演变特征及驱动因素。结果表明:建库后各站点的枯水流量显著提升(Pm <0.05),不同等级流量序列均发生显著突变,突变年份集中在2005-2009年。宜昌、枝城、监利、螺山四站建库后的年均低水位天数明显减少,而沙市站建库后的年均低水位天数增加30.3天,各站点水位序列的突变年份相较流量序列有所延后。同流量下水位下降主要发生在建库后,宜昌、枝城、沙市、监利、螺山站等站的最大降幅分别为0.69m(8000m3/s)、0.64m(8000m3/s)、2.81m(6000m3/s)、2.08m(6000m3/s)、1.53m(8000m3/s)。三峡水库调蓄作用和河道冲刷是枯水演变的主要驱动因素,但不同站点的水文响应存在显著空间差异。其中:宜昌、枝城、监利站建库后枯水位抬升主要源于三峡水库的调蓄作用;沙市站因河道冲刷作用显著,在枯水流量增加的情况下枯水位仍然下降;螺山站因同时受到洞庭湖水系的影响,水位流量变化波动相对小。
英文摘要:
      To analyze the impacts of the impoundment and regulation of the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) on the hydrological regime of downstream river channels, this study utilizes daily average water level and discharge data from 1991 to 2021. A set of low-flow indicators, combined with the Mann-Kendall trend test and Pettitt abrupt change test, is employed to systematically investigate the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of low-flow conditions in the Yichang-Luoshan reach of the Yangtze River before and after the operation of the TGR. The results show that post-impoundment low-flow discharges at all stations increased significantly (Pm < 0.05), with abrupt changes detected in multiple flow-level series, mostly occurring between 2005 and 2009. The annual number of low-water-level days decreased notably at Yichang, Zhicheng, Jianli, and Luoshan stations after reservoir operation, while at Shashi station, it increased by 30.3 days. Compared to discharge series, water level series exhibited delayed mutation timing. A decline in water level under the same discharge conditions was observed primarily after reservoir impoundment, with maximum declines at Yichang (0.69 m at 8000 m3/s), Zhicheng (0.64 m at 8000 m3/s), Shashi (2.81 m at 6000 m3/s), Jianli (2.08 m at 6000 m3/s), and Luoshan (1.53 m at 8000 m3/s). The regulation effect of the TGR and channel erosion are identified as the primary drivers of low-flow evolution, though the hydrological responses varied spatially among stations. Specifically, the post-impoundment rise in low water levels at Yichang, Zhicheng, and Jianli is mainly attributed to reservoir regulation, while at Shashi, channel erosion led to a continued decline in low water levels despite increased low-flow discharge. Luoshan, influenced by the Dongting Lake system, showed relatively minor fluctuations in water level and discharge.
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